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"Thumper crusts" and wet slabs
- garyabrill
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How it works (I think): Recent surface snows that fall without much wind become wet before a thin and gradually thickening surface crust forms from cooler air and/or radiational cooling. In some cases the snow may(?) also become wet from long wave radiation gain beneath a radiationally cooled already existent surface crust. In any case the key factor is that the slowly thickening surface crust that forms in cooler periods lessens the settlement of the underlying wet snow during those same cool periods. At moderate elevations the thickness of the crust is minimized by the limited cooling and diurnal warm periods that prevail during the spring. The limiting of settlement doesn't seem important while the surface crust is in it's cold and frozen state but becomes a key factor during warmer periods as the crust begins to weaken. (Some faceting may also be taking place in the wet grains beneath the crust.) But, in any case, what is going on is that the upper crust and some transient grain to grain bonding of the wet grains is causing the underlying wet grains to settle less than they ordinarily would. This results in the storage of potential energy (that turns into kinetic energy when released) in the wet grains during cold periods.
When the surface crust begins to weaken it eventually may reach the point at which it may fail locally and cause the underlying wet grains to collapse suddenly. This can initiate slab failure particularly if there is a bad bed surface of a smooth ice lens or hard crust and more so if water from melting lubricates this substrate. (The wet grains in this case would be very wet). The slab could be initiated naturally or may fail when disturbed by a skier, causing the crust to fail locally and collapse.
This is kind of an interesting situation because ordinarily one would think of MF crusts as both providing some strength and also indicating that during the wet phase before crustal formation that significant settlement is likely to have occurred; but, in this case the key is that the crustal strength becomes minimized before failure and that the underlying structure is storing some potential energy. The crust and/or the very weak bonds in the underlying wet grains I believe are critical for providing the ability of the slab to propagate.
Anyway, I think it is interesting and that is what I think could be happening out there right now.
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- joecat2
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There were fracture lines 1 foot high near the top of the bowl,(about 5500'). Other less steep areas closer to the south ridge haven't gone yet. I was surprised to see fracture lines, not point releases, but now it is explained.
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- Joedabaker
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We toured up the summer trail to the bottom of Bullion Basin. There was evidence of a large fracture avalanche (not deep, but wide) maybe a day or two old. We had a discussion about the conditions and potentials. Evidence of the deeper (3-5") ski Pen made me thing there would be a good chance of wet hisser slides. We followed a set of possibly day old or early morning skin tracks that took extra care to avoid excessive exposure wrapping in an out of the trees, very impressive, but steep. I broke off the trail off near the ridge where I felt that we were in the clear. But there were signs of this Thumper Crust layer where whole sections when weighted would audibly make a SSSSHHH sound and I could feel the slightest drop in the snowpack. Some areas were smaller, 15x15 foot sections and others were the whole slope. Interesting enough that there was a crease, not a shooting fracture at the uppermost reach of the settled areas. In some cases the crease was zig zagging over 150 feet. Freaky!
Needless to say we stuck to the trees on our safe ski escape. Glad to be out of that noisy mess.
A couple years we were on a group tour where all of us are very conditioned to various snowpack conditions. We ran into similar collapsing snowpack conditions, yet the snow was older corn that had a MF supportable crust layer of 1-2 inches. This had the same effect, collapsing in large sections. We dug pits and analyzed the snow pack and there was a Crust layer that bridged the wet corn below leaving a 1-2" AIR gap between the Crust layer and the Wet Corn. We surmised that radiation cooling combined with a deep freeze in the low 20's caused the upper layer to set up and the underlain corn continued to settle leaving the air gap. No new snow was present, Maybe this happened over a couple MF cycles since the days before had similar radiational overnight cooling cycles. Maybe there was a cold fog that made a very short appearance that glued the upper layer?
Really left a unsettling feeling-
No pun...
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- markharf
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As someone else had reported a day or two ago, there have been scattered wet slab releases on all sorts of interesting aspects, including in cross-loaded gullies. I also spotted some large new cornices which appeared to face south by southeast, which is not where I'm accustomed to seeing them. I couldn't discern a pattern, however: no cornices at all in some spots, giant overhangs in others nearby.
Sadly, skiing below 7000 feet featured bottomless, unconsolidated slop. I am not unskilled with this stuff, but today it seemed far more difficult than usual. It also felt like it should have slid easily, but as far as I could tell it did not. I didn't spend enough time actually upright and turning to do any real testing or slopecutting.
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- Stormking
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We also noted several large (500 vf or nearly full runout) wet slides on northeast facing slopes that may have went while we were there as well as one with a 20 ft wide x 2 feet deep crown that had slid probably Friday or Saturday.
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- garyabrill
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Check out the current forecast:
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON...
.TODAY...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW LEVEL 2500
FEET. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 8 INCHES. AFTERNOON PASS
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. WEST WIND IN THE PASSES 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 3500 FEET.
WEST WIND IN THE PASSES 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVEL 4000 FEET. AFTERNOON PASS TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. LIGHT WIND.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. SNOW LEVEL 4500 FEET. EAST WIND
IN THE PASSES NEAR 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 4000 FEET. AFTERNOON PASS
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S. WEST WIND IN THE PASSES NEAR 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL
4000 FEET.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. FREEZING LEVEL 5500 FEET.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. FREEZING LEVEL
7500 FEET.
.SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. FREEZING LEVEL 11000
TO 12000 FEET.
This is the first time that freezing levels will have gotten this high since early February so the possibility (likelihood) of deeper slabs has to be considered especially beginning Sunday and more so day by day after that until it cools once again. Maybe we can finally get a more typical period of consolidation and hopefully better skiing conditions some time thereafter.
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- Jim Oker
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Talk like Yoda, you do. Teased your dog, you have.Gave me the creeps, it did.
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- garyabrill
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.SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. FREEZING LEVEL 11000
TO 12000 FEET.
This is the first time that freezing levels will have gotten this high since early February so the possibility (likelihood) of deeper slabs has to be considered especially beginning Sunday and more so day by day after that until it cools once again. Maybe we can finally get a more typical period of consolidation and hopefully better skiing conditions some time thereafter.
The updated forecast now shows an 11000' freezing level just for Sunday. But models also show that most of next week freezing levels will be a few thousand feet higher than they've been lately.
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- watsonskipsmith
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Thanks to all for sharing. We didn't experience any of this sort of settlement up on Earl this past Saturday (May 9),
minor correction jim!
i did not comunicate with you guys while we were skinning up to the ridge crest N of earl as i was taking a more gentle switchcaked line over to climbers rightout in the open vs the partially treed route guys took, but i did experience 2 woomping episodes, smaller than some of those described above, felt like the top foot or so of new snow settled suddenly but i did not observe cracks.
(:skip
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- garyabrill
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North Cascades:
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. FREEZING LEVEL 9000 FEET. LIGHT WIND.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. FREEZING LEVEL 10500 FEET. AFTERNOON PASS
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST NEAR 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. FREEZING LEVEL 12000 FEET.
.SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. FREEZING LEVEL 12500 FEET.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. FREEZING LEVEL
10000 FEET.
Looks like it snowed at least 5" last night with gradual warming. The warming will continue with very warm temps Saturday night and Sunday likely. That should be warm enough to create something of an avalanche cycle. I'd have to think that some of the deeper weak layers could become active.
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- Joedabaker
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I'd have to think that some of the deeper weak layers could become active.
In general it's hard to imagine any great skiing unless the snowpack settles quickly and gets a good freeze from the clear night sky.
Based on Stimbuck's snowpack reports three weeks ago at Chinook, I would assume that most of the meltwater in the snowpack, at least at 6500ft and below would have permeated the January ice crust by now. I have not done any specific digging pit profiles to back up my thoughts, but it seems reasonable given the time lapse. Any thoughts on that?
As always in spring known areas with snowpack over smooth shale rock is another area of concern.
This Thumper layer on the other hand has me wondering if we will get a few slides rolling from that when the upper layer perks?
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- Pete A
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- telemack
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Just remember the Hood Canal Bridge is closed for repairs (see DOT), so you are looking at a long awkward drive unless you go the the SW Olympics. They got some snow this week too, but I'm mostly going by what I've seen with my own eyes from home.curious if others have been looking at the hurricane ridge telemetry and wondering if skiing conditions could be better/safer in the Olympics this weekend instead of teh Cascades.... Looks like the Olympics might've received only a fraction of the snow and rain the Cascades got over the past few days, and since it sounds like there was a fairly significant avy cycle last weekend (from what was posted earlier in this thread) I'm kinda hoping there might be some corn, or at least something other than bottomless sludge, over there
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- Gary_H
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We climbed Mt Baldy today, ran into this type of settlement at about 6,000 ft elevation on a ridge running in northwest - southeast. Settlements varied from very small to a couple that were very loud and you could feel the settlement in your legs. The slope was about 15 degrees.curious if others have been looking at the hurricane ridge telemetry and wondering if skiing conditions could be better/safer in the Olympics this weekend instead of teh Cascades.... Looks like the Olympics might've received only a fraction of the snow and rain the Cascades got over the past few days, and since it sounds like there was a fairly significant avy cycle last weekend (from what was posted earlier in this thread) I'm kinda hoping there might be some corn, or at least something other than bottomless sludge, over there
Temperature was very warm, even early in the day and all we found for snow was "bottomless sludge"
Gary
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- Scotsman
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Thump, thump, whoop ! repeat.
Very unnerving.
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- garyabrill
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Clean corn is obviously my favorite but there just weren't enough diurnal melts and refreezes to create much of a crust except during the cold snowy periods. And in the cold periods it was snowing and remaining below freezing, always creating another layer of unconsolidated snow. With these conditions settlement was essentially non existent except for very brief warmer interludes between snowstorms. That meant that timing was everything - you had to be there on the day or so immediately after one of the many snowstorms.
Even though the corn may not be as good, hopefully the settlement and some refreezing will produce more reliable conditions in the near future.
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- garyabrill
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This was the largest of a number of slabs on similar aspects.
It is worth noting that yesterday 200 yards or so from the slab near Panhandle Gap I felt the most violent whumpf I've ever felt which propagated out from my location in flattish terrain at least 40 yards. I believe it was the collapse of a weak crust buried some 12" collapsing the underlying weak wet snow.
A good guess would be that all it would take to get some significant wet slabs would be for the surface crust to weaken and melt water to percolate to weaken deeper weak layers and crusts.
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- jtack
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State at the switch back at Liberty Bell.
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- Kyle Miller
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- Jason_H.
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- Charlie Hagedorn
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